Friday, October 18, 2019

Penn State Preview

Time: 7:30 PM
Location: Happy Valley
Weather: 54 with 60% rain
TV: ABC
Stream: EPSN App
Line: Michigan +9

I hate this game as it's not set up for success for the Wolverines.   It's a night game on the road and a white out which means the Penn State fan base will be nice and lubed up for the late kick.

These teams are also the complete opposite of what I thought they would be at the start of the season.  I saw Penn State re-building with a new QB and Michigan's offense excelling with a senior QB and new wide open system.

Tale of the Tape 
Michigan O vs. PSU D = Penn State
Michigan D vs. PSU O = Push
Turnovers = Penn State
Intangibles = Penn State
Momentum = Penn State
Helmets = Michigan
White Pants = Push

This is a miss-match folks, the Wolverines can win this game but they have to be a completely different team then we have seen this season.   The issue is Michigan's offense can't hang on to the ball and when that happens Michigan's defenses reverses like a scared turtle.   This offense will not work unless Shea keeps the ball more and makes the LB's guess what the hell is going on.  He has been unwilling or able to do that since the first play of the season.   The 4th down at the 5 yard line was a great example, the only thing that was missing from that play was a big neon sign saying to run it here.  Shea handed it off and Michigan was stopped.

Would you like more bad news?  Clifford the Big Red Dog and new Penn State QB is athletic and loves to run for first downs.  His running game on 3rd down basically beat Iowa last week.  Iowa also got bit by an Ann Arbor spider and now has a turnover bug as well.

Say, well that was surprising if...…………
  • Michigan doesn't turn the ball over 
  • Shea throws like an NFL draft-able QB 
  • Michigan gets Nico, Hill, and Paye back 
  • Charbonnet and Haskins run for 175+
  • Don Brown has a game plan to stop a running QB 
Send Warde Manuel a nasty email - this is why we don't play ND in October if...……..
  • Penn State plays like they did last time there was a night game white out against Michigan 
  • Michigan's offense continues to look like a clown car out of control 
  • Michigan's defense turtles 
  • Jimmy uses some type of iron sharpens iron analogy in the post game press conference 
  • Don Brown gets out game planned again 
Michigan's offense is not ready for prime time and that is just sad in week 8.  That is huge a disappointment but the defense is also not playing up to their standards.  Illinois scoring 25 straight points should never happen, never!   Penn State just won a night game in Iowa, where candidly they didn't play great and got a bunch of penalties but did enough to win.   Those games continue momentum, barley beating Illinois after being up 28 points have the opposite effect. 

This is a nightmare scenario for Michigan fans:
-Night road game 
-Michigan is beating themselves 
-Mobile QB for PSU
-Can't make a field goal 
-Harbaugh & Brown struggle against ranked teams 
-Harbaugh's Michigan teams struggle at night 
-Michigan has key injuries to starters 
-The media storm against Harbaugh will be incredibly strong after another road loss 
-Another night game against a rival next week 

Penn State 41 Michigan 17

Hey Jerk, you pointed out all the negatives.  How about a few ways Michigan could win this game?  You're a freaking Michigan Football Blog!

Fair point, Shea has to keep the ball and get some chuck yards on the ground.   Both Michigan running backs have to hold on to the ball and find plenty of yards in the running game.   The offensive line has to protect in pass protection for Shea to find Michigan's talented WR's deep.   Don Brown can't have his defense play man to man and have their back to Clifford opening up long runs for 1st downs.   You have to keep Penn State in 3rd and long and keep the Big Red Dog from scrambling.  He much rather run then challenge the Michigan secondary. 


from The BIG HOUSE Blog http://mbighouse.blogspot.com/2019/10/penn-state-preview.html

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